Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 6.708938 7.404076 8.174763 9.099229 10.186972 11.437514 1.300072e+01
2025-02-02 5.934246 6.933466 8.142995 9.745454 11.861813 14.637539 1.869432e+01
2025-02-09 5.410428 6.561023 8.038110 10.137186 13.160154 17.568575 2.496272e+01
2025-02-16 4.925112 6.130724 7.744953 10.161631 13.884437 19.808910 3.104205e+01
2025-02-23 4.635413 5.905761 7.672448 10.448694 15.013035 22.951806 4.017352e+01
2025-03-02 4.222273 5.458214 7.218850 10.073941 14.976999 24.051889 4.582932e+01
2025-03-09 3.911899 5.123344 6.886979 9.830910 15.098735 25.459631 5.307036e+01
2025-03-16 3.680036 4.879666 6.662764 9.724192 15.431355 27.383137 6.312836e+01
2025-03-23 3.573110 4.809301 6.693920 10.044962 16.627645 31.614350 8.457157e+01
2025-03-30 3.346091 4.538859 6.381553 9.719599 16.466101 32.568015 9.556750e+01
2025-04-06 3.137512 4.282971 6.071905 9.362868 16.175203 33.108878 1.058099e+02
2025-04-13 2.950308 4.049161 5.781293 9.010281 15.835145 33.425827 1.158277e+02
2025-04-20 2.813494 3.898593 5.637665 8.958314 16.251527 36.386455 1.491458e+02
2025-04-27 2.799860 3.944995 5.834565 9.601047 18.481607 46.530228 2.842364e+02
2025-05-04 2.743221 3.916120 5.896731 9.984732 20.216522 56.721731 5.595495e+02
2025-05-11 2.640126 3.802145 5.795224 10.008663 21.009392 64.024104 1.022040e+03
2025-05-18 2.579937 3.755593 5.811231 10.289323 22.634876 77.367235 3.319977e+03
2025-05-25 2.443922 3.570937 5.554850 9.922915 22.204740 79.319464 6.062436e+03
2025-06-01 2.334336 3.426161 5.363769 9.685217 22.133176 83.627571 1.955277e+04
2025-06-08 2.248865 3.318725 5.236174 9.580823 22.478243 91.387858 1.177053e+07
2025-06-15 2.216293 3.301857 5.281404 9.894575 24.360868 114.374337 NaN
2025-06-22 2.118324 3.163833 5.079121 9.576329 23.892269 116.990344 NaN
2025-06-29 2.023296 3.027198 4.872180 9.227275 23.238607 117.306004 NaN